Success in daily fantasy sports is all about getting value. One of the easiest ways to find this desired value is to play players that have been inserted into their teams’ starting lineups due to injury.
DFS sites set prices for the following week prior to the end of the previous week. This pricing model allows for the opportunity to get newly anointed starters at backup prices. This week’s FanDuel lineup is going to lean on this value based strategy, particularly at the running back position.
QB – Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons, $8,700 (Opponent: Carolina Panthers)
The Falcons’ quarterback has thrown for multiple touchdowns in all but one game this season and is fresh off a thrashing of the Seattle Seahawks. In Week 6, Ryan finished with 335 yards and three touchdowns.
This Sunday, he gets to face a San Diego Chargers’ defense that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. And even better he gets to face them at home. In 2016, Ryan is averaging 418.5 yards per game in Atlanta.
RB – Jacquizz Rodgers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $5,600 (Opponent: San Francisco 49ers)
With Doug Martin suffering a setback this week, Rodgers is in line to be the primary ball carrier for the Buccaneers this week, and he will carry the ball a lot. When filling in as the starting running back in Week 5, Rodgers touched the ball 35 times.
The heavy workload should turn into a huge performance for the running back. San Francisco is allowing the most fantasy points to running backs this season and has been especially bad of late with Bowman out. In their last two games, the 49ers have allowed 402 rushing yards and six touchdowns to the running back position.
RB – Spencer Ware, Kansas City Chiefs, $7,000 (Opponent: New Orleans Saints)
The Chiefs’ running back has taken a firm grip on the Kansas City backfield. Ware out touched Jamaal Charles 26 to 11 last week. And now Charles’ knee has swelling in it and he is questionable for Sunday’s game.
So it looks like Ware will get the majority of the touches again this week. With the expected heavy workload coming against the New Orleans Saints, the running back should finish the day as a Top-five fantasy back. New Orleans is allowing the most-fantasy points to the running back position this season.
WR – Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons, $9,200 (Opponent: San Diego Chargers)
Jones had no problems with the Seattle Seahawks’ secondary in Week 6. He hauled in seven passes for 139 yards and a score so he should manhandle the Chargers’ corners this week. San Diego has allowed the eighth-most receptions to wide receivers in 2016.
WR – Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $8,000 (Opponent: San Francisco 49ers)
Just like the other wide receivers in today’s DFS lineup, Evans is his team’s top target in the passing game. He has received 30% of the Buccaneers’ passing attempts. The pass catcher should do plenty of damage versus the 49ers such a big share. Especially with San Francisco having the worst DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers this season.
WR – Brandon Marshall, New York Jets, $7,400 (Opponent: Baltimore Ravens)
The last time Geno Smith started a game he used Brandon Marshall as his security blanket. The wide receiver saw 18 targets from the back up quarterback in that game. He finished with nine receptions for 108 yards.
The Baltimore secondary is banged up and it is likely that their two starting corners won’t play. Leaving an opportunity to Marshall to take advantage of the back ups.
TE – Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts, $4,700 (Opponent: Tennessee Titans)
As long as Dwayne Allen is out, Doyle will serve as the Colts’ starting tight end. With Allen out last week, Doyle finished with 53 yards and a touchdown. Many of Andrew Luck’s wide receivers are banged up leaving Doyle as one of the next options in the passing game after T.Y. Hilton.
K – Ryan Succor, Tennessee Titans, $4,500 (Opponent: Indianapolis Colts)
The game flow in this one should lead to theTitans’ kicker getting plenty of opportunities this week. The Colts have allowed the third-most fantasy points to kickers this season.
D – Minnesota Vikings, $4,900 (Opponent: Philadelphia Eagles)
Last week the Washington Redskins sacked the Eagles’ Carson Wentz five times. Minnesota has 19 sacks in five games so the Vikings should get plenty of pressure on the rookie quarterback.